CNBC has a report citing Cox Automotive data that is offering used car buyers a potential break. Cox’s Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index decreased 1.6% in April compared with March and was up 1.8% compared with a year earlier. The average list price hit $25,390.

Gas Prices Surging

  • National average sits around $4.50/gallon

  • That’s up over $1/gallon from a year earlier

  • Gas prices up 47% since end of February

  • Driven by ongoing Iran war

How High Gas Prices Are Changing Buyer Behavior

  • Affordability is a major concern - high gas prices eating into consumer budgets

  • Increased demand for older vehicles (cheaper)

  • Renewed interest in electric vehicles despite higher upfront costs

  • Average used EV price: $9,200 higher than overall market

  • Used EV index up 7.2% year-over-year

Spring Selling Season

  • Strong start fueled by higher tax refunds

  • Consumers used tax money to purchase/finance used vehicles

  • Wholesale prices forecast to rise ~2% for the year (historically stable)

There was a significant note fromCox Automotive's chief economist Jeremy Robb, saying: "Higher [gas] prices are soaking up a lot of the extra money in consumers' pockets, and currently there's no end in sight."

Let’s hope this is in fact a peak and not a pause. Middle East uncertainty can remain so if you’re in the market for a used car, this could be a window of opportunity.

Thanks for reading everybody!

-Paul

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